Indonesia palm-oil export ban (2022)
Apr 2022: a documented market event that overlapped the wholesale price windows of 1 tracked ingredient — co-occurrence in time, never an asserted cause.
What happened
Indonesia, the world's largest palm-oil producer and exporter, imposed a temporary ban on exports of crude palm oil, refined/bleached/deodorised (RBD) palm oil, RBD palm olein and used cooking oil effective April 28, 2022, stated to secure domestic cooking-oil supplies. FAO GIEWS documented that the ban was lifted on May 23, 2022 (about three weeks) via Regulation No. 30/2022, after which Indonesia reinstated a Domestic Market Obligation and Domestic Price Obligation requiring a share of palm-oil supply to be reserved for the domestic market.
Documented account from our open, cited registry (sources below). Shown as context beside the price record — co-occurrence in time, never an asserted cause.
Affected ingredients
- Vegetable oil
Why these ingredients were exposed
Each affected ingredient's public supply structure — where it comes from and how much it leans on imports. Context that makes the co-occurrence with a documented event legible, never its cause.
- Vegetable oilDomestically sourced comes almost entirely from domestic production, with little import buffer. Its exposure runs through domestic production structure, not import origins — a domestic event overlaps its price window.
It explains why an ingredient sits in the path of a documented event — not that the event caused any price move. Co-occurrence in time, never a cause.
The detected moves that overlapped
Each figure is a wholesale reference against its own ±26-week normal — a market move, never a delivered price.
No sustained wholesale move in our detected set falls inside this event's window. The event is documented; our public price series simply didn't flag a notable departure from normal for these ingredients then — an honest absence, not a hidden one.
What moved together
Co-occurrence, not cause
Vegetable oil
In Vegetable oil's 6 notable moves, these ingredients ran the same direction in the same weeks:
Moving in the same weeks is not one thing causing another — many of these share a growing region, a shipping lane, or an aisle. It is a directed, bounded count: in K of an ingredient's own notable moves, another ran the same way.
Sources
2 sources
- Indonesia lifts temporary ban on palm oil exports — Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (GIEWS/FPMA)
- Indonesia to lift ban on palm oil exports from May 23, trade reactions vary — S&P Global Commodity Insights
Documented events come from our open, cited registry (CC‑BY). Price moves are detected from public history (USDA/BLS/FRED) and shown as co-occurring context, never asserted as the cause. How events are picked.