US suspension of Mexican avocado imports from Michoacan (February 2022)
Feb 2022: a documented market event that overlapped the wholesale price windows of 1 tracked ingredient — co-occurrence in time, never an asserted cause.
What happened
On Feb 11, 2022, USDA's Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service (APHIS) suspended inspections of Mexican avocados in Michoacan — the only Mexican state then authorized to export avocados to the US, supplying the large majority of US avocado imports — after an APHIS inspector received a threat while carrying out field work near Uruapan. With inspections paused, avocado shipments from Michoacan halted. USDA lifted the suspension on Feb 18, 2022 after additional inspector-safety measures were agreed with Mexican authorities and the exporters' association.
Documented account from our open, cited registry (sources below). Shown as context beside the price record — co-occurrence in time, never an asserted cause.
Affected ingredients
Why these ingredients were exposed
Each affected ingredient's public supply structure — where it comes from and how much it leans on imports. Context that makes the co-occurrence with a documented event legible, never its cause.
- AvocadoImport-exposed its import value concentrates in a few origins (88% Mexico · 6% Peru, HHI 0.78, a value share), at ~88% reliance by value. That is why an event in that origin region overlaps its price window legibly.
Reliance is a share of import value, a rough exposure proxy, not a supply-security score; origin concentration (HHI) is of import value, not total supply. It explains why an ingredient sits in the path of a documented event — not that the event caused any price move. Co-occurrence in time, never a cause.
The detected moves that overlapped
Each figure is a wholesale reference against its own ±26-week normal — a market move, never a delivered price.
No sustained wholesale move in our detected set falls inside this event's window. The event is documented; our public price series simply didn't flag a notable departure from normal for these ingredients then — an honest absence, not a hidden one.
What moved together
Co-occurrence, not cause
Avocado
In Avocado's 6 notable moves, these ingredients ran the same direction in the same weeks:
Moving in the same weeks is not one thing causing another — many of these share a growing region, a shipping lane, or an aisle. It is a directed, bounded count: in K of an ingredient's own notable moves, another ran the same way.
Sources
Documented events come from our open, cited registry (CC‑BY). Price moves are detected from public history (USDA/BLS/FRED) and shown as co-occurring context, never asserted as the cause. How events are picked.