Pressure Lab
This is the actual model behind the Cost Index outlook — and you can play it. Move a signal and watch the direction change. Nothing here is a price; it's where costs look to be headed.
How this works
The model is a transparent sum: P = Σ(weight × sign × signal). Each public leading indicator casts one vote — up, down, or neutral inside a deadband — weighted by its evidence tier. When P crosses the ± line, the direction flips. No subjective adjustments: the same numbers you could redo by hand. It is an inferred direction, not a price; the lead times come from USDA/EIA and the per-week weighting is our estimate.